House prices in Wales rise after five consecutive quarters of decline

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Rise in Welsh Property PricesRise in Welsh Property Prices In the second quarter of 2024, the average house price in Wales experienced a rise to £236,369. This marks a shift from the previous five consecutive quarters of decline, and it’s the first price increase since December 2022. Findings from the Wales House Price Index Data from Principality Building Society’s Wales House Price Index for Q2 2024 reveals a 3.1% increase in average house prices compared to the previous quarter. Fifteen out of the 22 local authorities in Wales reported higher prices, with Bridgend and Ceredigion seeing double-digit increases over 16%. Comparison with Previous Year and Peak Despite the recent growth, average house prices in Wales remain 2.4% lower than the same period last year. They are also 5% below the peak price of £249,000. Recovery and Market Outlook Head of Distribution at Principality Building Society, Shaun Middleton, attributed the positive news to the recovery of house prices after a challenging period. He noted that the picture in Wales shows local authorities experiencing price increases rather than decreases for the first time since 2022. Middleton anticipates that house prices will continue to rise, supported by improved economic conditions, greater affordability, and growing buyer interest. Impact on Transactions The recovery is also reflected in an increase in transactions. There were 10,200 transactions in Wales in Q2 2024, a significant increase compared to the previous quarter and the same period a year ago. Detached houses have seen a small recovery in transactions, while apartments continue to show strong growth. This reflects the pressure on affordability in the wider market. Government Initiatives The UK and Welsh governments are implementing initiatives to address housing challenges. The UK Labour government aims to accelerate infrastructure development and build 1.5 million homes in England, while the Welsh Government has committed to delivering 20,000 new low-carbon social housing rentals. Conclusion The second quarter of 2024 marked a positive turnaround for the Welsh housing market. House prices are rising, transactions are increasing, and the market is expected to continue its recovery in the coming months.

Aberdaron. Image by Llywelyn2000 (CC BY-SA 4.0).

The average price of a property in Wales rose to £236,369 in the second quarter of 2024. This is the first time prices have risen since December 2022, when the average price peaked at £249,000.

The figures come from the Principality Building Society’s Wales House Price Index for the second quarter of 2024 (April-June), which shows the rise and fall of house prices in each of the 22 local authorities in Wales.

Principality’s report shows that the average house price in Wales has risen by 3.1% since the previous quarter, as most local authorities reported higher prices in the second quarter for the first time since 2022.

The average price of a house in Wales is still 2.4% lower than the same period last year and 5% below the peak price of £249,000.

Recovery

Shaun Middleton, Head of Distribution at Principality Building Society, said: “The second quarter of 2024 has brought much-needed positive news to the Welsh housing market, with house prices now seeing a recovery after five consecutive quarters of falling house prices.

“The picture in Wales shows that local authorities are reporting quarterly price increases rather than decreases for the first time since 2022, translating into a steady rise in house prices.”

Across Wales, 15 out of 22 local authorities reported price increases compared to the previous quarter, with Bridgend and Ceredigion recording double-digit increases of over 16%. Year-on-year, 11 local authorities still reported declines, with Wrexham experiencing the largest drop of 10% compared to the same period the previous year.

There were 10,200 transactions in Wales in Q2 2024, up 24% on Q1 and 16% on the same period a year ago. This represents a growth area as quarterly transactions have been falling continuously since the end of 2021.

A recent survey found that 66% of Principality members consider property type and size to be the two most important factors when looking for a home, with many buyers preferring a detached property.

Transactions have increased this quarter, with detached houses seeing a small recovery. However, this recovery is still weaker than apartments, where transactions have increased by a third quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year. This reflects the pressure on affordability elsewhere in the market.

Turn around

Shaun continued: “This increase, which takes the average price in Wales to £236,369, marks a significant turnaround and suggests the market may be stabilising.

“Recent years have seen the most challenging housing market conditions since the global financial crisis in 2008, with first-time home buyers facing the toughest conditions in around 70 years, according to the Building Societies Association.

“Looking to the future, the new UK Labour government is pushing ahead with a major legislative step aimed at accelerating infrastructure development and building 1.5 million homes in England. Meanwhile, the Welsh Government has committed to delivering 20,000 new low-carbon social housing rentals during the current term.

“Together with our insights, this suggests that the second quarter could herald a new era for the Welsh housing market as we expect house prices to rise, with increased transaction volume supported by improving economic conditions, greater affordability and growing buyer interest.”

Principality Building Society, a mutual organisation owned by customers rather than shareholders, aims to support and build a new generation of savers and homeowners. For more information visit: www.principality.co.uk/mortgages/house-price-index.

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